Tuesday, August 25, 2020
Near-Earth Objects and Their Impact on Society Essay -- Space Explorat
Since the time the start of mankind's history, individuals investigated. Man, lady and youngster the same had chances to see the excellence and gloriousness of Earth. They have seen the immense outstretches of Earthââ¬â¢s land, from the lavish green fields of America, to the splendid brilliant sands of Africa, and the thundering dark blue seas. After some time, people settled, deserting their traveling past. However, their hunger for investigation proceeded. Magellan, Columbus, and Lewis and Clark, for instance, extinguished this thirst by going on campaigns to discover new pathways for land, wealth, or both. The Chinese were likewise pioneers of investigation. As indicated by the National Aeronautics and Space Administrationââ¬â¢s (NASA) Chief Historian Steven J. Dick, the Chinese once secured huge and rich boats commonly greater than Columbusââ¬â¢s. He noticed that their innovation in the end amazed as a result of their later detachment and xenophobia towards the remainder of the world. Thus, different nations, similar to the United States, later outperformed Chinese developments. All through the brilliant period of investigation, be that as it may, there were additionally downsides. Perils, dangers, clashes, and irresistible sicknesses tormented travelers and their partners, however they kept on meandering in would like to improve effectiveness and human life. In the long run, human development and investigation dwindled. All things considered, the soul to push on supported; individuals searched for better approaches to investigate. The Cold War time opened up another outskirts of investigation: space. Named ââ¬Å"the last frontier,â⬠space holds numerous riddles and mysteries boundless to the layman. Space is new and outside. A dim cover veils the perils of room from the open greater part. Be that as it may, researchers, designers and scientists know numerous potential perils o... ...elimination. AccessScience. McGraw-Hill Companies. 2011. Web. 23 Mar. 2012. Delgado, Laura. At the point when motivation neglects to move: A difference in methodology for the US space program. Space Policy. 27.2 (2011): 94-98. High Technology Research Database with Aerospace. Web. 18 Mar. 2012. Dick, Steven. ââ¬Å"The Importance of Exploration.â⬠Exploring our Solar System. NASA. 22 Nov. 2007. Web. 14 Mar. 2012. Felton, John. ââ¬Å"Space Program.â⬠CQ Researcher. 24 Feb. 2012: 177-204. Web. 7 Mar. 2012. Morrison, David. FAQs About NEO Impacts. Asteroid and Comet Impact Hazards. NASA. Sep. 2004. Web. 25 Mar. 2012. Norris, Guy. Close Encounters. Aviation Week and Space Technology. 173.42 28 (2011): 51-52. Applied Science and Technology Full Text. Web. 23 Mar. 2012. Webster, Bobby. Space Exploration. International Debate Education Association (IDEA). IDebate. 23 Oct. 2008. Web. 25 Mar. 2012.
Saturday, August 22, 2020
Sch21 Communication Essay Example for Free
Sch21 Communication Essay Correspondence has a significant influence in our regular day to day existence, on the off chance that we didn't speak with one another we were unable to learn, create connections or even advancement and it is imperative to ensure that the best arrangement is made for all. Various techniques can be utilized as a method of imparting yet the manner in which we express it can effectsly affect the youngsters, guardians and staff that we work with. When speaking with kids it is imperative to give them your complete consideration as this urges them to communicate how their inclination and to investigate by posing inquiries provided that by any possibility you become diverted while conveying to a kid by turning the other way while their are speakingthey may feel that what they are attempting to state or ask you might be irrelevant to you and this may make the youngster need certainty when addressing another grown-up or kid and may get hesitant in communicating or posing inquiries. Grown-ups can likewise exhibit a decent utilization of language and urge kids to communicate and get certain about themselves by giving them that you are effectively tuning in and giving them that they are esteemed by utilizing your non-verbal communication and outward appearances this is finished by socially collaborating with the kid by getting down to their level and setting up eye to eye connection, grinning attentivly and gesturing encouraginaly to them. It is consistently essential to ensure that great correspondence is kept with the youngster supposing that its not then the kid may think that its hard to communicate with you and this may influence his or hers learning and advancement. It is additionally significant that your work is of its best quality and that the youngster is benifiting from this. Great relational abilities are consistently basic when working with guardians, being certain towards them by giving them great eye to eye connection, grinning and non-verbal communication. It is additionally significant when speaking with guardians that you are giving them an opportunity to be heard and are giving full consideration to them. At the point when possitive connections are framed among collegues and guardians it is simpler to trust, bolster help and exhort. Guardians will feel alot progressively sure about leaving their youngster in a setting if the staff are well disposed and receptive by being like this you can recieve the common regard and build up an expert relationship by demonstrating that you have premium and need in their childs learning and advancement despite the fact that it is as similarly as significant that while you are building up an expert agreeable relationship with the parent that it doesnt become individual and form into a companionship. Great correspondence is the way to set up a possitive relationship with your associates and different experts in the setting it majorly affects the day by day running of the setting it is essential to be courteous show regard and be exceptionally proficient with anybody that you work alongside. It is essential to regard different people groups sees paying little mind to your very own assessment of them. On the off chance that you decide to be unproffesional and excuse different people groups perspectives and feelings this may bring about outcome between the grown-ups and this can be effectively gotten by the youngsters and if correspondence is poor between the partners this can negatively affect the setting , while a decent connection between associates will make an agreeable and upbeat enviroment for allthose engaged with the setting and they will feel esteemed which will make a solid proffessional relationship and will permit the kids to learn and grow efficently, great cooperation relies upon great correspondence. . 3 Give a clarification of why it is imperative to watch a people responses when speaking with them. It is critical to watch a people responses when speaking with them on the grounds that just around 70-80% of correspondence is verbal and on the off chance that you are not focusing on the people outward appearances and substantial responses then you will be passing up an enormous piece of the correspondence in light of the fact that not all individuals can impart verbally perhaps they dont know the language or just dont have the certainty, maybe the individual might not have the certainty to go up against the individual along these lines would utilize different methods of conveying.
Saturday, August 8, 2020
SIPA Fellowships A Primer COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY - SIPA Admissions Blog
SIPA Fellowships A Primer COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY - SIPA Admissions Blog I like to be as transparent as possible concerning admissions and financial aid at SIPA â" I am not a cloak and dagger type of guy. I like two button sport coats, bright ties, and sneakers . . . but this is not about my fashion sense. I know that paying for school is a big issue, both from a personal and professional standpoint. As I stated in a recent entry, I attended graduate school and borrowed a substantial amount of money to do so. Professionally, it is almost impossible to talk with a prospective student and not have the topic of the cost of education come up. In order to provide some additional insight into the situation at SIPA I thought I would post some basic information about fellowships. There are a lot of words in this entry and no pictures, so hang in there and read carefully and I think you will find the information valuable. First I will note that we are not able to give out near the amount of money we would like to give to first year students. Each year we award approximately 15% of incoming students funding and the average award is around $15,000. Below are two examples of common emails we receive after admission decisions have been sent out: I am very happy to have been admitted to SIPA, however is there any way that the admissions committee can reconsider me for fellowship funding (or increase an award I have been given)? I have been admitted to SIPA and to another school and the other school is offering me funding. Can SIPA match the funding provided by the other school? Can I work as a program assistant or teaching assistant at SIPA to earn money? The SIPA Admissions Committee actually spends twice the amount of fellowship money we have. Why do we do this? Because history shows that not everyone we award funding to will attend. Thus we greatly overspend which means that if an applicant declines their award, we cannot simply shift that money to another applicant. Regarding the second question, each school has a different committee, different applicant pool, and different budget. In my Apples and Oranges entry a while back I talked about how comparing an offer from one school to another may seem like a logical thing to do, but the comparison is fraught with complications and variables. And as stated above, as much as we are excited about having you come, we simply cannot base our decision on the capability of another school to provide funding. So what about the second year? I am happy to say that the majority of second year students at SIPA that are qualified to apply for fellowship do receive funding. So how do you qualify? In order to apply for second year funding at SIPA a first year student must have a 3.2 GPA at the end of the first semester. If you meet the GPA requirement, you will submit an application to the Office of Student Affairs at SIPA in March of your first year. Roughly 70% of those who apply are awarded funding and the average award is around $20,000. The highest second year awards are roughly $42,000 for the year. Second year students who are awarded fellowship funds typically have some sort of work requirement associated with the fellowship. This can include working for a professor as a teaching assistant (TA) or in administrative department such as admissions, career services, or institutional technology as a program assistant (PA). This relates to the third question TA and PA positions at SIPA are reserved for second year students. First year SIPA students are welcome to apply for positions across the university (Columbia University is made up of 17 schools) however the positions at SIPA are reserved for students in the second year of the program. This is a good time to put in a plug for our summer math tutorial. Since second year funding is so dependent on academic performance, it behooves you to do all that you can to make sure you do well in the first semester a semester in which you will be taking a heavy dose of core requirements which are quantitatively heavy. In May admitted applicants who have chosen to enroll will be sent instructions on how to participate in an on-line summer math tutorial. I cannot recommend highly enough that applicants who plan on enrolling participate in the summer math tutorial. Even if you took many quantitatively oriented classes in the past, it would do you well to knock off a little bit of rust. Again I can speak from personal experience. I started my graduate program when I was 28 and boy was it a shock to my system when the syllabus of the first class hit my desk. And for those who might not have completed an economics sequence, high level math class, or a statistics class, taking a summer class from a college near you is a great idea. Courses might include microeconomics, macroeconomics, statistics, linear algebra, precalculus, or calculus. I hope this gives you a bit of insight into the process at SIPA and please click here to explore information related to cost of attendance at SIPA. The financial aid staff in my office will work on getting aid information out after admission decisions are published on the application site. Coming off of the weekend I am going to spend a good portion of Monday evaluating our decision publishing schedule this week and will provide an update soon so stayed tuned.
Saturday, May 23, 2020
Analysis Of Citrate And Its Various Salts Essay - 848 Words
Overview: Citrate and its various salts have been researched extensively and found to be used in most commercial settings, such as a local supermarket, as food preservatives. Hence, the level of citrate salts of various metals in our daily food has to be allocated to acceptable levels; as well enforcement of these acceptable levels requires an analytical tool capable of quick, selective and sensitive detection and quantification of citric acid levels in our daily food. This analytical method utilizes a graphite sensor to determine citrate in various beverage samples. It requires the construction of a relatively simple graphite carbon electrode for the determination of citrate levels. This method uses graphite carbon electrodes, within a Flow Injection (FI) system, as potentiometric sensors for the determination of ascorbate in food products. The mechanism supporting this method is the process of adsorption and subsequent oxidation of ascorbate on the electrode surface and the potential differe nce after citrate introduction. The results from this analytical method were validated against a conventional procedure, i.e. a standard titrimetric method. There are many analytical methods for determining citrate levels in samples, however, too many of these methodologies are tedious and time consuming; they require expensive materials and expensive equipment. Araà ºjo et. al (2011) suggests this analytical method for it is relatively quick and inexpensive. It does not require largeShow MoreRelatedOrganisms Of Two Unknown Bacterial Cultures Essay1700 Words à |à 7 Pages1: Streaking for Isolation result for unknown 33 CULTURE MEDIA PURPOSE REAGENT OBSERVATION RESULT MAC AGAR PLATE Demonstrate the ability of a gram-negative bacterium to metabolize Lactose Crystal violet dye, lactose, neutral red indicator, and bile salts Bright pink halo, bile precipitant (haze) around the colonies, and pink colony growth Ferment lactose- produced an acidic environment that appears pink. Gram Neg. BHIA SLANT Used for maintenance and preservation of pure cultures Brain heart infusionRead MoreTypes Of Gel Drug Administration1537 Words à |à 7 PagesTherefore, this method cannot be adopted as a general method to prepare gels. In flocculation method, gelation is produced by adding adequate quantity of salt to precipitate to produce age state but inadequate to cause complete precipitation. It is important to ensure rapid mixing to avoid high concentration of precipitant. The addition of salts to hydrophobic solution brings about coagulation and gelation rarely occurs. The gels formed by flocculation method are thixotropic (time-dependent shearRead MoreCholera Outbreak in South India in Association with Religious Gathering 833 Words à |à 4 PagesCholera outbreaks have been frequently reported from various parts of developing world mainly owing to poor sanitation of potable water. Most of its outbreak has been reported during monsoon (1). However, the outbreaks are not restricted to this period. Cholera outbreaks have also been reported in refugee camp, prison, funeral feast, etc., (2). Cholera is caused by two serogroups of Vibrio cholerae O1 and O139. Among them O1 has two biotypes Classical and El Tor. Classical biotype was completelyRead MoreLab Report Of The Copper Acetate Monohydrate1875 Words à |à 8 Pagesdepends on the acidic pH. The remaining sol contains alcohol and citric ions. The nucleation rates depend on the gel viscosity and rigidity, which mainly depended on the copper salt mixed with citric acid. Tuning of pH appears to be particularly important in systems in order to optimize the formation of stable copper citrate species and prevent precipitation of individual hydroxides (Gi Dae Park et al. 2016). The observed change in morphology is due to the formation of bridging coordination betweenRead MoreProperties Of Nannoparticles Enhanced Composites1389 Words à |à 6 Pagesproperties of NPs-doped films, a novel alteration proved to be more amenable as well as need low processing temperature compared to the traditional glass methods. Basically, the general process involves the formation of metal NPs from a soluble salt form via various methods like annealing and photochemical reactions [11], however, suffer a couple of constraints like size and shape, polydispersity and nucleation methods. This lead to an alternative method to provide more flexibility to include the particlesRead MoreUnknown Bacteria Lab Report1467 Words à |à 6 PagesEnterotube II as instructed by our lab instructor, the tube was labeled and placed it in the 350C incubator for 24 hours. There were six different test media that were performed on the gram positive bacteria, starting with the inoculation of the mannitol salt agar (MSA) dish, using a flame-sterilized and cooled transfer loop. Two loop tranfers of our isolated gram positive bacterium were placed onto the surface of the agar, applying the quadrant streaking technique as illustrated on page 18 of the lab manualRead Moreenergy drink Essay3010 Words à |à 13 Pagesinformation: a. What it is (very brief description: 1-2 sentences) b. What it does (very brief description of its physiological role in the body: 1-2 sentences) Red Bullà ® Ingredients: carbonated water, sucrose, glucose, citric acid, taurine, sodium citrate, magnesium carbonate, caffeine, glucuronolactone, inositol, niacinamide, calcium pantothenate, pyridoxine HCl, vitamin B12, natural and artificial flavors, colors. Carbonated water What it is: Carbonated water is the primary ingredient of carbonatedRead MoreIndustrial Attachment Report at Cmr-Kemri9715 Words à |à 39 Pages................................9 2. VDRL RAPID TEST FOR SYPHYLIS ...................................................10 3. BLOOD FILMS FOR MALARIA TEST..................................................11 2. URINE ANALYSIS ....................................................................................................13 3. STOOL TEST FOR OVA AND CYST ......................................................................15 5. CULTURE AND IDENTIFICATION OFRead MoreQUANTITATIVE DETERMINATION OF TOTAL HARDNESS IN DRINKING WATER BY COMPLEXOMETRIC EDTA TITRATION2148 Words à |à 9 Pagesmeasure of the amount of calcium and magnesium present in sample water[1]. These calcium and magnesium ions have the capacity to replace sodium or potassium ions and form sparingly soluble products or precipitates.[2] Water hardness is involved in various aspects of industrial and biochemical processes. Large amounts of ppm CaCO3 in water can form precipitates when interacted with soap and form rings known as ââ¬Å"scumâ⬠in several utensils and appliances. The formation of these ââ¬Å"scumâ⬠in electrical appliancesRead MoreHelicobacter Pylori And Gastric Cancer2702 Words à |à 11 PagesBeglinger, 2007).Though it was estimated in fourth place in incidence but it remans in second place in terms of mortality. There are several risk factors that has been identified for causing the stomach cancer including H.py lori infections such as salt-preserved foods, smoking, alcohol, obesity, radiation, family history and dietary nitrate (Crew and Neugut, 2006). The researchers has even found that the incidence rate of stomach cancer varied across different geographical region and such variation
Tuesday, May 12, 2020
The Principle Of Utility, And Hedonic Calculus - 905 Words
In this essay, I will explain whether act or rule utilitarianism is superior and why. I will begin by defining important terms like utilitarianism, the principle of utility, and hedonic calculus. Then I will move on to defining act utilitarianism and its strengths and weaknesses. I will then do the same with rule utilitarianism. I will argue that rule is superior to act, in the sense that it is more relevant to society as a whole, and it has more benefits for society. Rule utilitarianism is superior to act utilitarianism because it has less gray area, it is more stable with morality, and it has the flexibility to be general or specific. 2. I will begin by defining important terms to understand what rule and act utilitarianism is. Utilitarianism is teleological. It is when ââ¬Å"the moral worth of an act is judged according to the goodness and badness of its consequencesâ⬠(Angeles, 326). The principle of utility according to Mill is when ââ¬Å"actions are right in proportion as they tend to promote happiness, wrong as they tend to produce the reverse of happinessâ⬠(Mill). Hedonic Calculus is Benthamââ¬â¢s ââ¬Å"method of choosing an action based on the amount of pleasure that the action would provide. The amount of pleasure was determined by its intensity, duration, propinquity, certainty, fecundity, and purityâ⬠(Angeles, 124). A simple term is utility, and it means pleasure or happiness. All of these terms will tie into act and rule utilitarianism. 3. Act utilitarianism is when you shouldShow MoreRelatedThe Principle Of Utility And Hedonic Calculus Essay1374 Words à |à 6 PagesBenthamââ¬â¢s Principle of Utility and Hedonic Calculus and using these two concepts to decide whether or not animals should be allowed to be used for entertainment. I will then explain an advantage and a disadvantage to his hedonic calculus. The validity of hedonic calculus for me doesn t seem to be an overall method to tell what is right from wrong because it does not factor in the morality of the situation. However, it is a great place to start. First I will go on to explain Benthamââ¬â¢s Principle of UtilityRead MorePro Life And Pro Choice1403 Words à |à 6 Pagesover what qualifications the fetus must display in order to have the rights that come with moral personhood. One ethical principle that can be applied to the issue of personhood in relation to abortion is the Value of Life Principle. Under the Value of Life ethical principle, prese rvation of life takes precedence over all other ethical values. Therefore, according to this principle, if it can be determined that the fetus has the right to life, that right must be preserved. However, even if it is determinedRead More Utilitarianism Essay examples1220 Words à |à 5 Pagesand America, demands were being made for human rights and greater democracy. Bentham worked on legal reform. Utilitarianism is associated with the principle of utility. Utility means the amount of satisfaction or pleasure that somebody gains from consuming a commodity, product, or service, i.e.; useful. The hedonic calculus, which is his system for measuring how good or bad a consequence is: At the time Bentham put forward the theory it was instrumental. It changedRead MoreExplain Benthamââ¬â¢s Utilitarianism: (30 Marks)843 Words à |à 4 PagesExplain Benthamââ¬â¢s Utilitarianism: (30 Marks) A man called Jeremy Bentham had a theory called the ââ¬ËUtilitarianism theoryââ¬â¢. He was born in London at the time of the great scientific and social change and wrote ââ¬ËThe Principles of Morals and Legislationââ¬â¢ in 1789. Bentham had the theory that all humans seek pleasure and avoid pain at all costs. Utilitarianism has been described as an act or a rule rather than a theory. We break this down into three parts: -Motivation: Bentham was a hedonists (ââ¬ËHedoneââ¬â¢Read MoreThe Ethical Dilemma Of Abortion1319 Words à |à 6 Pagesconsequentialism and utility. A teleological theory is a theory which operates on the basis that the ââ¬Ëend justifies the meansââ¬â¢, so it is not the action itself that is important, but the intended result of the action. Consequentialism means that whether an action is good or bad can be evaluated by the consequences it produces, so utilitarianism would evaluate an action based on the pleasure it produces, making it a theory based specifically on hedonistic act consequentialism . Utility, is defined by JohnRead MoreDiscussion of Utilitarianism Essay examples830 Words à |à 4 PagesDiscussion of Utilitarianism In this paper I will be discussing utilitarianism. Utilitarianism is the theory proposing the principle of utility as the correct ethical standard. I will also be talking about the THEORY of RIGHT CONDUCT, which is also a part of moral theory. I have been asked to prove if Bentham or Millsââ¬â¢ version of utilitarianism is right for the sadistic voyeur case. I will begin by telling you about the case. Case: this man enjoys watching womenRead MoreUtilitarianism Essay740 Words à |à 3 Pagescertain situations and was first introduced by a hedonist (pursuer of pleasure) named Jeremy Bentham who put forward the ââ¬ËPrinciple of Utilityââ¬â¢ which said ââ¬Å"The greatest happiness for the greatest numberâ⬠. Utilitarianism is a theory which bases on the end purpose (teleological) of achieving pleasure, our decisions should be based on consequences in pursuit of the principle of utility (consequentialist) and is a theory which judges each situation independently (relativistic). Jeremy Bentham was the firstRead MoreThe, The Greatest Good For Greatest Number1354 Words à |à 6 Pages would the terrorist be with or against torturing one to save thousands? Personally with what great knowledge Iââ¬â¢ve obtained in class I can automatically say that a Utilitarian would be for torturing the daughter because itââ¬â¢s all about maximizing utility. With that being said A Philosopher by the name of Joshua Green found out just that. Joshua Greene basically argued in his piece ââ¬Å"Moral Tribesâ⬠for of which what the ââ¬Å"Father of Utilitarianismâ⬠, Bentham, states. Bentham said ââ¬Å"The Greatest good forRead MoreEssay on Utilitarianism1031 Words à |à 5 Pages Utilitarianism is mainly associated with the principle of Utility summarised by Jeremy Bentham, a social reformer, in 1768. This principle was to apply ââ¬Ëthe greatest good of the greatest numberââ¬â¢ theory to all situations that may arise. This theory was that which is good is the act which provides the greatest amount of pleasure andRead MoreRelationship Between The Principle Of Utility And Moral Rules1462 Words à |à 6 PagesEvaluate Millââ¬â¢s understanding of the relationship between the principle of utility and moral rules. In this essay I will argue that Mill thinks that there is a strong relationship between the two concepts, although he regards moral rules as having a subordinate relationship towards the principle of utility. Mill is a rule utilitarian who believes moral rules are useful guidelines for everyday uses, but reverts to the principle of utility in complex moral situations. In this essay I will also argue
Wednesday, May 6, 2020
Hungergames Free Essays
Katniss Everdeen volunteering in Primââ¬â¢s place as tribute and deciding to fight against the injustice of the Games Katniss enters slowly, stunned, and then as the realisation of the words set in, she races towards the front of the stage to face the panel. And the girl tribute for District 12 is â⬠¦ Primrose Everdeen! Not Prim! Not my little duck! There must be some mistake! This canââ¬â¢t be happening! Stop! I volunteer! I volunteer as tribute in her place! I am Katniss and I wish to be Tribute for District 12. Donââ¬â¢t take Primrose! Katniss takes a minute to compose herself before continuing. We will write a custom essay sample on Hungergames or any similar topic only for you Order Now I promise I will do whatever I can to bring victory to this District and that I will be a true and brave Tribute if you allow me to stand in for Primrose. Moving towards the fence line where her friend Gale is standing. Galeââ¬â come and get her and take her away from here. Please ââ¬â watch over my Mother and my sister ââ¬â make sure they are safe and fed. I have to go! Turning on her heel, Katniss moves back to centre stage where she sees the crowd standing silently, with their three middle fingers on their left hand held to their lips. Is this really true? I see you and I understand the message you are sending me with your fingers touching your lips and then held out to me. This is our District sign ââ¬â this is the sign that mearns thanks and admiration. I will try my hardest to be true to our District and to undermine this cruel and humiliating festival that is the Hunger Games. Katnissââ¬â¢ movements start to waver as the seriousness of what she has done starts to really sink in. She is moved to a room in the court house behind the stage. This room is where I finally await my fate and the reality of it is hitting me hard. The injustice of this reaping makes me physically ill. I want to throw up so bad! This room once seemed so big but now its walls are crushing me and closing in on me. I fear for my safety but I know I have made the right decision to stand in for Primrose. I feel so sad. Sad for my sister ââ¬â tiny, sweet, delicate Prim ââ¬â my ââ¬Å"little duckâ⬠. I could never let her have to confront the degradation or torment of weeks of competition ââ¬â she would not last a second. The other tributes would see her as a frightened deer ââ¬â easy prey ââ¬â and crush her like a bug. Pacing up and down and stopping every now and again to face the audience and look at them with conviction. Me on the other hand? At least I can hunt and I am pretty good with a bow. I am a sthronger person much more capable of looking after myself and using my wits to protect me than Prim will ever be. She is a baby! It astounds me how the Capitol can continue to hold these barbaric games. They have already taken our livelihoods and our freedom ââ¬â what good could possibly come of the senseless slaughter of innocent children apart from the punishment for an uprising that happened so long ago, it is not in my memory. Why must the children be put to death? Moves to centre stage and sits The anguish I am feeling is rising up in my chest, threatening to flood over me and cause more misery and hopelessness than I am already experiencing. But I am sthronger than that! Stands again and moves stage left I will overcome this sense of utter desolation and take on the challenge of sticking to the Capitol in any way I can. Being led into this room reminds me of what prison must be like for those who betray the Capitol and it hardens my resolve. I am determined more than ever to fight for my freedom and the freedom of all children of Panem. We are not lambs bred to be slaughtered to teach the rest of Panem a lesson about subservience and submission. We are human beings! But am I really that brave? I am sthronger in spirit than many my age and that has got me in to all sorts of trouble so far. Maybe it will be to my advantage now. Katniss pauses and sits down ponderingâ⬠¦ Maybe this was meant to happen. Maybe it is my task to do what I can to rebel against the insane faulty logic that governs the hearts and minds of the Capitol. I was once so close to accepting Galeââ¬â¢s offer to run off into the woods, to hide away from the rest of the world and live in relative safety out of the prying eyes of the all controlling, all pervasive Capitol. Now I know why that was not my fate. Katniss moves side stage and holds her It could be done! If I play cool and keep my head, I could turn this situation to my advantage. I could try to send a message to all in the Districts that Katniss Everdeen mearns business. She is not going to take this lying down. She is not going to give in to the brutality of the power-hungry Capitol, she is not a pawn to be played with like a rag doll. I must have some skills that I can use to survive this ordeal. The predators may have me in a corner and God knows, I am terrified, but a cornered animal is also a dangerous one. One wrong move, and it will destroy ââ¬â it has the most to lose. Katniss becomes immobilised by an overwhelming sense of inadequacy What am I talking about? I canââ¬â¢t possibly win. This competition is way beyond my abilities. I am reminded of Galeââ¬â¢s final words to me: ââ¬Å"Katniss ââ¬â it is just hunting! Youââ¬â¢re the best hunter I know. You know how to kill ââ¬â swiftly and painlessly. â⬠But I donââ¬â¢t want to kill children! Itââ¬â¢s just too awful! Katniss runs to centre stage, resolute in her conviction again. But sometimes you have to do what you have to do to begin the long journey towards justice. I will do what I must to begin this war against the Hunger Games. Starting right now. How to cite Hungergames, Papers
Saturday, May 2, 2020
Information Security Outsourcing Information Security
Question: Discuss about the Report for Information Security of Outsourcing Information Security. Answer: Introduction Generally the information security is defined as the well informed sense of assurance that defines risk and controls associated with the information and data of users are in balance (Cezar et al. 2013). Though there are several advantages of information technology but there are several disadvantages of information security system (De Lange et al. 2016). Data-theft is one of the well known issues regarding the information security. This report elaborating a news story: Health Insurer Anthem Hit by hackers related to the information security breaches published in The Wall Street Journal. Justification of Choice Justification for choosing the topic: Health Insurer Anthem Hit by hackers The second- biggest health insurance company Anthem said that the hacker broke into the database containing the personal information about 80 million of its customers and employees. It was the largest data breach in the year of 2016 (Yadron 2016). The story helps to find the major elements that are important to understand the impact of information-security breaches (Dhillon et al. 2016). In addition to this, evaluation of this story presents the reasons and impact behind data theft. This aspect makes the perspective of user and organizational heads about preventive measures against the data theft issues (Disterer 2013). Therefore, this aspect helps to determine the resolving techniques of data thefts introduced in the technological world. In contrast with the information-security breaches this story explains one of the most important breaches in it. Relation of the topic with the information security breaches Information security breaches are recognized as the unauthorized access of data by any other person or system other than the authorized person (Gordon et al. 2014). According to this definition this story is also concerned with the unauthorized data accessing process. The concept of the data theft is completely related to the information security breaches. Anthem the health care giant of the world faced huge problems as about 80 million data was hacked due to the attack of the hackers (Huang et al. 2014). According to a spokesperson from Anthem, it was clarified that most of the data was related to the details of the consumer information stored in the database of them. No data were related to the financial information of their consumers such as: card details, account number or any other informative details related to the consumers financial data (Kolkowska and Dhillon 2013). Anthem accepted that they had faced these breaches due to lack of security system among their technical departments. In contrary with the context of the story presented in the Wall Street Journal it is clear that the hackers has stolen the data for either gaining profit by the user information or to spoil the fame of Anthem. Reasons for the breaches Technical perspectives According to Mr. Miller from Anthem, said that the technical departments recognized the incursion in the last week before the attack when the system administrator saw that database query was being run automatically as he was not accessing his identifier code (Yadron 2016). Investigators involved in this case tracked that the data was transferred to an outside web- storage service and they were able to freeze it there. There are mainly two perspectives that are important for analyzing the technical reasons behind the information security breaches (Lee et al. 2013). These are: lack of security and utilization of modern hacking techniques by the hackers. Lack of security for consumer data: According to Mr. Miller from Anthem they tracked the location of the hacker though they did not control their hacking system, as a result of which the hacker easily controlled their security system and steal around 80 million data from the database of Anthem (Yadron 2016). Modern hacking techniques utilized by the hackers: The hackers utilized one of the modern techniques that make thetrackers feel illusive that they have tracked the position of hacker but in reality it is not true (Parsons et al. 2014). The system followed by the hackers shows the variable positions of them to the trackers. Non- Technical perspectives There may several non- technical reasons for explaining the perspective behind this data theft (Peltier 2016). According to the information collected on this issue, it is found that the hacker may have the following intentions: a) to misuse the data in case of blackmailing the consumers of the Anthem, b) to hack the personal bank accounts used by the consumer through their account numbers or card details, or c) to make Anthem feel that they are losing their competitive market position (Potter and Waterfall 2012). These reasons are three main reasons for hacking. The hacker involved in the data theft in Anthem affected 40 million payment cards; this aspect introduced the financial reasons for the data theft (Renaud and Goucher 2014). Hackers are intentioned to steal the data related to the financial accounts that may open up the way for them to hack the personal bank account of the consumers of Anthem. Impacts Assess involved in the breaches and severity of the damages According to the story Anthem and consumers of the company faced the loss due to the loss of data (Siponen et al. 2014). The impact was positive on the hackers, they are the only actor in this story those have gained. These impacts are described as follows: Impact on Anthem: According to the story related to the information security Anthem faced many challenges. Trust with consumers is very critical matter of concern in healthcare industry (Thomas et al. 2013). Due to the loss of data related to consumers they have lost their trust on the company. This issue not only reduced their market value but also left a great impact on their future aspect. According to CEO of Anthem, Anthem has yet to demonstrate a path towards restoring this trust. Impact on consumers of Anthem: According to the information collected on data thefts in Anthem there were 80 million consumers who were suffering from critical identity theft. There was around several million account details stolen by the hackers (Vacca 2012). The organization provided one web support to their consumers for noting their problems they are facing due their identity theft. Impact on hackers: Among all impacts of this data theft only hackers have positive impact on themselves (Wang et al. ., 2013). The hacker got the chances to hack the financial information of the consumers of the Anthem. 40 million payment details were stolen due this data theft (Yadron 2016). Anthem is based in Indianapolis that has almost 37.5 million people within their range of service. This is the only matter in which the hackers got benefitted. The above discussed aspects elaborated the impact of the information theft on the consumers, Anthem and also on hackers. Social impact of the breaches Information theft is defined as illegally operated user data or theft of information. These have great impact on the social world as the users or consumers are facing critical identity theft. The consumers and user of stolen data faced so many problems (Williams et al. 2013). According to the research done on information theft it is found that attitude of the consumers are changed due this kind of theft which impacts upon the social image of those organizations that are being challenged by information theft (Zafar et al. 2012). The Centre of Democracy and technology listed ten privacy prevention policies that will be helpful for the consumers for preserving their social rights. In addition to this, health insurance industry faces trust issues due to the information theft. In contrary with the story it is clear that Anthem is facing many problems due to same issue. Remdies to the breaches Technical details of the resolving techniques of breaches According to the story about data theft in giant healthcare Anthem this was revealed that the company has arranged a special association for enquiring about hacker (Yadron 2016). This association established an advanced system that identified the position of the hacker and that was approximately China. In addition to this, Anthem also introduced one new web- server that was gathering information about queries of the consumers those faced identity crisis and other data- theft related problems. Conclusion Information security issue being addressed to the illegal operation of user data. This aspect has great impact not only on the consumers but also many organizations those are facing challenges for data theft. In contrary with this perspective this report has explained the impact and reasons behind the data theft with respect to one news story published in The Wall- Street Journal. In this story giant healthcare Anthem has faced the data theft issue within their organization and around 40 million consumer data are lost due to data theft. This report elaborated technical and non- technical reasons behind this data theft. In addition to this, remedies for data theft in Anthem are also provided in this report that described the severity of the data theft. References Cezar, A., Cavusoglu, H. and Raghunathan, S., 2013. Outsourcing information security: Contracting issues and security implications.Management Science,60(3), pp.638-657. De Lange, J., Von Solms, R. and Gerber, M., 2016, May. Information security management in local government. In2016 IST-Africa Week Conference(pp. 1-11). IEEE. Dhillon, G., Samonas, S. and Etudo, U., 2016, May. Developing a Human Activity Model for Insider IS Security Breaches Using Action Design Research. InIFIP International Information Security and Privacy Conference(pp. 49-61). Springer International Publishing. Disterer, G., 2013. Iso/iec 27000, 27001 and 27002 for information security management. Gordon, L.A., Loeb, M.P., Lucyshyn, W. and Zhou, L., 2014. Externalities and the magnitude of cyber security underinvestment by private sector firms: a modification of the Gordon-Loeb model.Journal of Information Security,6(01), p.24. Huang, C.D., Behara, R.S. and Goo, J., 2014. Optimal information security investment in a Healthcare Information Exchange: An economic analysis.Decision Support Systems,61, pp.1-11. Kolkowska, E. and Dhillon, G., 2013. Organizational power and information security rule compliance.Computers Security,33, pp.3-11. Lee, C.H., Geng, X. and Raghunathan, S., 2013. Contracting information security in the presence of double moral hazard.Information Systems Research,24(2), pp.295-311. Parsons, K., McCormac, A., Butavicius, M., Pattinson, M. and Jerram, C., 2014. Determining employee awareness using the human aspects of information security questionnaire (HAIS-Q).computers security,42, pp.165-176. Peltier, T.R., 2016.Information Security Policies, Procedures, and Standards: guidelines for effective information security management. CRC Press. Potter, C. and Waterfall, G., 2012.Information security breaches survey. Technischer Bericht, infosecurity Europe und PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, April 2012. https://www. pwc. co. uk/en_UK/uk/assets/pdf/olpapp/uk-information-security-breaches-survey-technical-report. pdf. Renaud, K. and Goucher, W., 2014, June. The curious incidence of security breaches by knowledgeable employees and the pivotal role a of security culture. InInternational Conference on Human Aspects of Information Security, Privacy, and Trust(pp. 361-372). Springer International Publishing. Siponen, M., Mahmood, M.A. and Pahnila, S., 2014. Employees adherence to information security policies: An exploratory field study.Information management,51(2), pp.217-224. Thomas, R.C., Antkiewicz, M., Florer, P., Widup, S. and Woodyard, M., 2013. How bad is it?a branching activity model to estimate the impact of information security breaches.A Branching Activity Model to Estimate the Impact of Information Security Breaches (March 11, 2013). Vacca, J.R., 2012.Computer and information security handbook. Newnes. Wang, T., Kannan, K.N. and Ulmer, J.R., 2013. The association between the disclosure and the realization of information security risk factors.Information Systems Research,24(2), pp.201-218. Williams, S.P., Hardy, C.A. and Holgate, J.A., 2013. Information security governance practices in critical infrastructure organizations: A socio-technical and institutional logic perspective.Electronic Markets,23(4), pp.341-354. Yadron, A., 2016.Health Insurer Anthem Hit by Hackers. [online] WSJ. Available at: https://www.wsj.com/articles/health-insurer-anthem-hit-by-hackers-1423103720 [Accessed 25 Aug. 2016]. Zafar, H., Ko, M. and Osei-Bryson, K.M., 2012. Financial impact of information security breaches on breached firms and their non-breached competitors.Information Resources Management Journal (IRMJ),25(1), pp.21-37.
Sunday, March 22, 2020
Thursday, March 5, 2020
Learn the Forms of drink, Please!
Learn the Forms of drink, Please! Learn the Forms of drink, Please! Learn the Forms of drink, Please! By Maeve Maddox Weve had other posts on the correct forms of the few irregular verbs that remain in English, but when I heard not one, but two television reportersone in the field and one in the studiodeclare that a boy had drank a bottle of vodka, I had to trot out the forms of the verb to drink. Present tense: drink Simple past: drank Past participle: had or have drunk Before anyone wants to explain the aberration as something that would be heard only on an Arkansas television channel, consider this opening paragraph from a story in the UKs Telegraph: Chloe Leach, 21, had drank around four cans of the energy drink and several VKs a vodka based drink which also contains caffeine when she suddenly fell to the floor in the Sugarmill club in Hull, East Yorks., on September 30 last year. (2 February 2009) And this from the New York Times: He loved Lee Alexander McQueen, had known him 20 years, had drank and cried with him. (2 April 2010) We are living in the age of the disappearing copy editor. The buck stops at the writers desk. Want to improve your English in five minutes a day? Get a subscription and start receiving our writing tips and exercises daily! Keep learning! Browse the Grammar category, check our popular posts, or choose a related post below:The Yiddish Handbook: 40 Words You Should KnowIn Search of a 4-Dot EllipsisTreatment of Words That Include ââ¬Å"Selfââ¬
Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Company Law Essay Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 2000 words - 8
Company Law - Essay Example Scholars denote that because a business organization is incorporated, then the assets of these people are protected from seizures by creditors of the company. That is, the owners of the business under consideration are not liable for the liabilities of the company2. It is also easy for the owners of the company to raise capital through the stock market; it is simple to transfer the ownership of this company to another individual, the tax charged on a company is lower as compared to a personal income, and finally, a company that is incorporated is able to achieve a lenient tax restriction, on losses that are carried forward. The Companyââ¬â¢s Act of 2006 provides for the issuance of an article of incorporation once a company is incorporated. This article of incorporation is responsible for identifying the main purpose of the company, the location of the company, the number of shares issued by the company, etc. This article of incorporation will also contain the specific date of the companyââ¬â¢s registration, and the fees paid for the incorporation. It is important to understand that majority of companies are created for the main purpose of doing business. This is an aspect that the British parliament wants to encourage, and this is because the existence of many companies in Britain will lead to an improvement in the economy of the country, and creation of jobs. However, it is important to understand that doing business is a risky affair, and a business organization might fail, or it may acquire some profits3. This acquisition of profits is the major incentive that makes people to engage in a business initiative. It is important to understand that the common law principle denotes that an individual who provides capital for a business operation, and is responsible for sharing the profits that the business makes, is also liable for any debts that the business under
Monday, February 3, 2020
Approaches to Spanish Culture and Society Essay
Approaches to Spanish Culture and Society - Essay Example According to the study finding memory is usually associated with narratives while sites of the same harbor the locations for second-order remembrance where individuals remember their colleagues at specific locations besides how they victimized people. Many academic experts concur that past memories determine the future while at the same time enabling adaptation to the new order in the modern society. Dominant political authorities play a crucial role in shaping history, which is not a linear process. The political power continues to shift from the ideology through to images embedded in museums, memorials, and monuments. The following features remain part of the memory within the realm of social construction in the modern society. They include among others conflicted and shred persons, public, and official memories, collective recordings, factors that challenge the truth, modernism, and authenticity. As the report declares world hegemonic power and countries practicing the culture of capitalism continue to influence and spread new pieces of information that also erodes the original information involving many ethnic communities and states. Most of the eroded history entails a lot of information throughout their history guiding enlightenment, freedom of the market also referred to by other scholars as market liberalization, and rationalization among many more. The existing literature especially on Spain helps in discovering and digging into the past worth remembering in unprecedented volume and speed.
Sunday, January 26, 2020
Forecasting Inventory Needs For Home Depot Stores Nationwide Commerce Essay
Forecasting Inventory Needs For Home Depot Stores Nationwide Commerce Essay Forecasting is one of the most important aspects of any business that wants to maintain its competitive advantage. The Home Depot uses the gross national product (GNP) to forecast its demand for inventory. Due to the current state of the housing market, The Home Depot is finding it difficult to properly forecast inventory stocks resulting in a surplus of unsold goods and missed sales opportunities due to lack of other merchandise This paper will briefly describe some of the different techniques and methods used to forecast. There will be two courses of actions (COAs) developed. One will be recommended over the other and an implementation plan will be presented. Forecasting Inventory Needs for Home Depot Stores Nationwide Introduction The Home Depot is a multi-international organization with brick-and-mortar stores in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and China. The current state of the United States economy has been detrimental to many organizations. The Home Depot bases its inventory needs on the housing market. Recently the housing market has been fluctuating in an unpredictable manner. This becomes a concern for organizations that base their inventory needs on it. Improper inventory stocks can be a detriment whether it is overstocked or under stock. If inventory is under stocked organizations may lose potential business to competitors due to an inability to keep up with demand. Overstock causes an issue with costs associated with storage of unsold merchandise and can tie up much needed capital. Problem Statement Due to the current state of the housing market, The Home Depot is finding it difficult to properly forecast inventory stocks resulting in a surplus of unsold goods and missed sales opportunities due to lack of other merchandise. NOTE: BACKGROUND CONTENT SHOULD BE THE LITERATURE REVIEW. LIT REVIEW CONTENT SHOULD BE THE BACKGROUND. IM NOT SEEING MANY OF THE MANAGEMENT TOPICS INTEGRATED INTO EITHER SECTION. YOU MENTIONED SEVERAL OF THE TOPICS JUST AS YOU STARTED THE LIT REVIEW, BUT YOU ONLY MENTIONED THEM THIS IS NOT GOOD ENOUGH. YOU HAVE TO WRITE SOMETHING ABOUT THEM THAT WOULD BRING VALUE TO THE SUBJECT OF YOU PAPER. Background A forecast is a statement about the future. Many businesses use forecasting in an effort to squeeze every last drop of profit out of a situation. The Home Depot, for example, bases sales forecast on mortgage refinancing rates. Usually the smaller rates are at any given time in history will equate to higher sales. There are many different uses of forecast. Forecast can be used for accounting, finance, human resources, marketing, management information systems, operations, and product or service design to name a few. While forecasts are instrumental to an organizations financial future they are rarely perfect due to the randomness of the variables involved. The accuracy of forecasts themselves decrease as the time horizon of forecast increases. For example, the Home Depot can forecast sales for this year more accurately than they can for next year. There are many different elements of the forecast that would be considered good. In order for a forecast to be considered good the forecast would have to be timely, reliable, accurate, meaningful, and easy to use. According to Stevenson, there are two main uses for forecasts. The first is to assist managers with planning the system and the second is to assist them plan the use of the system (Stevenson, 2001). What is meant by planning the system is just that. It is a means to plan the system that involves long-range plans such as what products or services to offer as well as what equipment to buy and where to build facilities and things of that nature. According to Stevenson, planning the use of the system generally refers to the short-range and intermediate range which typically involves things such as planning the budget, scheduling, short-term goals, the needs of the investor, inventory, etc. Forecasting for business goes far beyond just forecasting the demand of products and services. It also includes being able to predict profits, revenue, availability of raw materials and many other variables. The Home Depot, being a home improvements store, must also be able to predict things such as th e housing market. There are certain features that are common to all of the different forecasting techniques. One of the main commonalities of forecasting is that no one has a crystal ball, and no one can see into the future; therefore forecasts are far from perfect. No one can predict precisely how often a large number of related factors will impinge upon the variable in question, this, and the presence of randomness, preclude a perfect forecast (Stevenson, 2001). Another commonality to all forecasting techniques is that forecast accuracy will become less accurate as time moves on, an example of this is given above, due to the fact that forecasting errors for group items will have a canceling effect upon themselves. For example, the Home Depot can forecast the sales goals of a particular department better than the sales goal of an individual product. According to Stevenson (2001) six basic steps are involved in the forecasting process shown in Table 1. Note: I would put these steps in a Table. Label it Table 1. Paraphrase the content. Step One Determine the purpose of forecast (Stevenson, 2001). One must know the reason behind forecasting in the first place. If a person is forecasting how many individuals will show up to a bake sale as opposed to how many pallets of shingles need to be urgent in order to facilitate demand at any given time, knowing the purpose will justify the level of accuracy that is necessary. Step Two Establish a time horizon (Stevenson, 2001). One must have a time horizon in their forecast, one must also realize that the accuracy of the forecast will diminish as the time horizon increases. Step Three Choose a forecasting technique (Stevenson, 2001). Once again there are numerous amounts of forecasting techniques that are being used today. It is extremely important for the forecaster to choose one that will best suit the needs of the forecast. Step Four Gather and analyze relevant data (Stevenson, 2001). Before beginning any daunting task one must gather all relevant information that one needs in order to put it all together and make sense of it. In this stage the forecaster must also identify any assumptions that are made while preparing using forecast. Step Five Prepare the forecast (Stevenson, 2001). In this step one would use whichever technique that was decided in order to prepare the forecast for monitoring. Step Six Monitor the forecast (Stevenson, 2001). The forecast is similar to that of any automated program and therefore will need to be monitored. The reason that the forecast needs to be monitored is because it is not performing in the way that it should be, the forecaster needs to go back re-examine the data and make any relevant changes in order to keep the forecast on the straight and narrow path. If the forecast is not performing in a satisfactory manner certain assumptions couldve been overlooked or completely wrong. In either case the forecaster must then prepare a revised forecast Literature Review Inventory management is one of the key issues faced by managers that deal with seasonal products. It is important to understand how product forecasting has been previously used. As technology advances and globalization continues to be on the rise, keeping up with supply and demand becomes a challenge. Businesses need to learn how to create a supply chain advantage. In this section demand forecasting, demand learning, and product lifecycle forecasting methods will be discussed. Six rules for effective forecasting will also be included. Demand Forecast According to Huang, Chang, and Chou (2006), the first step in finding precise demand forecast is to collect and organize complete and applicable historical demand data for any given product. Demand of this nature can be issued daily, weekly, monthly, or yearly depending on the time within the planning window. The process of modeling demand and determining demand forecasts is as follows: à ¢Ã¢â ¬Ã ¦demand data, demand analysis, demand forecast model, perimeter estimation, demand simulation, demand forecast, and expected demand (Huang et al, 2006). There are two aspects of forecasting that are vital. The first is the expected level of demand, the second is the degree of accuracy that can be assigned to a forecast. Demand Learning Demand learning is one of the inventory models that has received considerable attention in the literature. Herbert Scarf is one of the first authors to incorporate demand learning in an inventory modeling context. In his literature, Bayes Solution of the Statistical Inventory Problem, he developed an interesting inventory model that uses observed demand information and a current stock level together in the decision process. It is his assumption that demand is generated from an exponential class of distributions, and a collaboration of prior distributions are used for the unknown parameters (Scarf, 1958). For seasonal demand forecasting a Quick Response policy was adopted by many manufacturers. This procedure was developed in an effort to reduce a manufacturers production time to respond to orders in a timelier manner so that forecast can be improved by collecting more information about the future demand. Suri (2004) studied the Quick Response policy extensively. According to his lite rature, there are four core concepts of quick response manufacturing: The Power of Time, Organizational Structure, Understanding and Exploiting System Dynamics, and Enterprise-wide Unified Strategy. Product Lifecycle Forecasting Method Burruss (2002) describes the product lifecycle forecasting method. He used this method to propose a way to more accurately forecast products with high uncertainty and a short lifecycle. According to Burruss, a short lifecycle ranges anywhere from 9 months to 18 months. According to the literature, products forecasted using this method, should have well defined lifecycle phases from introduction to maturity and then to end-of-life, a high demand spike during the introduction phase, which is then followed by a gradual downward leveling off during maturity, and a steep end-of-life drop-off that is usually caused by planned product rollovers (Burruss, 2002). Six Rules for Effective Forecasting Paul Saffo describes the difference between prediction and forecasting. He says that prediction deals with future certainty while forecasting looks at how events in the present are influential to the possible changes in direction (Saffo, 2007). In his literature he describes six simple rules for effective forecasting that managers should observe as they develop forecasting policies (Saffo, 2007). The first rule is to define a cone of uncertainty. According to the literature, the cone of uncertainty is used to help managers exercise strategic judgment. The most important part of the cone of uncertainty is defining its breadth, which is a measure of overall uncertainty (Saffo, 2007). The second rule is to look for the S-curve. Saffo explains that change does not usually follow a straight line. It is important to see and identify an S-curve pattern once it begins (Saffo, 2007). Rule three is to embrace the things that do not fit. A successful forecaster will be able to look to the left of an S-curve inflection point and notice indicators of what is to come. However, sometimes there are items to the left of the S-curve inflection point that simply do not fit. It is the job of the forecaster to recognize those items and adjust the forecast appropriately. The fourth rule is to hold strong opinions weakly. Here, Saffo is saying that one of the largest mistakes a forecaster will make is to rely on one piece of information, which at the time seems extremely strong due to the fact that it reinforces the conclusion that the forecaster had previously. According to the literature, more weak information, bits and pieces, put together is more trustworthy than a single source of strong information. Rule five says look back twice as far as you look forward. This rule is a continuation of rules two and three. One must know ones history before they can effectively expect future outcomes. One of the hardest parts of looking in history is to know when it does not fit. Rule six, the last rule, is to know when not to make a forecast. There are certain times when forecasting is easy and sometimes when it is just not possible. Saffo uses the dot com bubble of the 1990s as an example of this rule. Forecasters suggested that at the time that old rules did not apply when in fact they were extremely prevalent and the old economic imperatives bursts the dot com bubble (Saffo, 2007). Discussion As stated above there are many different types of forecasting methods that may be used. Moon and Mentzer (2004) describe a time series technique as only looking at patterns of the history of actual sales. The time series technique will look and determine whether the patterns that are prevalent at the time can be projected into the future. This will be the basis of the forecast. All time series techniques examine one or more of four time series patterns, which include level, trend, seasonality, and noise (Moon Mentzer, 2004). Research by Moon and Mentzer (2004) suggest that the level is a horizontal sales history, or what the sales pattern would be if there were no trend, seasonality, or noise. Most forecasters use the level as the starting point for the time series and look at the other patterns later. In Figure 1 that follows, the data follows a horizontal pattern around mean. Figure 1. Title (Note: All tables and figures must carry a number and a title. This does not mean anything because you gave no legend. What is the X axis? What is the Y axis? What do the numbers represent. ) The way the line moves up and down as sales increase or decrease or curve or remain a straight line is what is considered the trend. Most businesses will prefer a trend that is always increasing; however, this is usually not the case. The trend is essentially the bread-and-butter of any forecast. It allows forecasters to be able to determine what is working and what is not, and present this information to management in an effort to mitigate future loss. In Figure 2 that follows, the data is progressively increasing which shows a trend. Note: So trends are based on data? You never really said that. Here you have to introduce Figure 2 and title it. You cannot just stick a graphic in and say nothing about it. Figure 2. Title (Note: You need to include a legend.) Seasonality is described by Moon and Mentzer (2004) as a repeating pattern of sales increases and decreases that occurs within a one-year period or less. For example, the Home Depot experiences high sales every fall for snow blowers, high sales of lawnmowers during the spring, and high sales every summer for air-conditioners. The pattern of these high sales during those periods within the year typically repeat themselves every year and therefore, the seasonality line can be seen as a regular pattern. Figure 3 that follows represents a seasonal pattern. The data exhibits a regularly repeating pattern. (Note: Same comment. You need to title and provide a legend.) Figure 3. Title Noise is the unexplained phenomena that occurs in forecasts. These phenomena usually seem unexplainable until a regression analysis or similar has been conducted. For example if the Home Depot were to have high sales of lawnmowers in the winter months, that would be considered noise. The high sales of lawnmowers can be explained possibly by global warming (unusually warm weather in the winter months), a fire sale of lawnmowers during these months, or some other explanation. The fact is that high sales of that product are unusual and have not happened consistently in the past years and therefore is considered noise. The Figure 4 shows how noise would appear on a chart. There is an inconsistency in the pattern. Figure 4. Title Insert Legend Management Concepts There are many different techniques and approaches when it comes to management. However while dealing with a forecast, managers are faced with more decision-making attributes. In order for any organization to be successful it all starts with being able to properly manage not only personnel, but also the other aspects of the business. In the military, soldiers are taught to lead by example. They are taught very early on to Be, Know, Do. Be the individual that you want your soldiers to be, know all of the required information before presenting it to a subordinate, and do what is morally and ethically right at all times regardless of the situation in which one might find themselves (Hesselbein Shinseki, 2004). You need a citation for this information. Not sure the military example is relevant. Li (2007) describes supply change management as a set of synchronized decisions and activities utilized to efficiently integrate suppliers, manufacturers, warehouses, transporters, retailers, and customers so that the right product or service is distributed in the right quantities, to the right locations, and at the right time, in order to minimize system wide costs while satisfying customer service level requirements. The Home Depot is an industry that ranks inventory in the top five business costs. Oversupply and undersupply of inventory at any given moment could have an extremely detrimental impact on the corporation. Establishing the right amount of product through effective forecasting will ensure that the Home Depot has the products customers need when they want them. This will also mitigate the overstock costs for storage of unsold goods. Economic Environment The current economic environment in the United States is bleak to say the least. As of the writing of this paper there is a high unemployment rate of 7.9% and a slow growth of the United States economy. Growth in the previous year has been at an extremely slow pace. Home sales directly impact inventory needs of the Home Depot. Total sales of homes in the United States have declined 1.7 percent since August of 2012 (realestateabc.com, 2012). Figure 5 shows . . . Figure 5. Title What year? You need to state the year. If home sales continue to decline it could mean that mortgage rates will increase. Increase in mortgage rates would mean that home improvement stores such as the Home Depot would take the brunt of the impact in the hike of the rate. Improvement in the economic environment is crucial for retailers like Home Depot (Steverman, 2009).. The housing bust in the United States hit the Home Depot hard. Due to the state of the economy, the Home Depot had reduced the square footage growth plans in an effort to improve free cash flow and provide strong returns for the company. (Home Depot, 2012). In 2009, the company was forced to exit its EXPO, THD Design Center., Yardbirds, and HD Bath businesses in an effort to focus solely on the brick-and-mortar stores (Home Depot, 2012). According to the five-year summary of financial and operating results of the Home Depot, the company is slowly regaining its previous financial success. Its total net sales are still lower in 2011 than they were in 2007. However, the trend indicates that the company is poised to regain its momentum and bring sales back to what they were previously. Table 1 is a five-year summary of The Home Depots financial and operating results. Table 1. Title Quantitative Tools and Techniques There are many different tools and techniques that are commonly used to support business decision-making. Arguably, decision trees are one of the best tools to assist managers in choosing between several courses of actions. Decision trees take information directly from the managers and allows them to see the outcomes of different courses they might take. According to Mind Tools, there are five steps to creating a decision tree, as shown in Table 2. The first step is to draw a decision tree. This will be the outline to which the manager would fill in the information related to each course of action. Second step will be to evaluate the decision tree. In this step the manager would decide which options have the greatest worth (Mind Tools, n.d.). The third step would be to calculate the values in the tree. Mind Tools suggest to start on the right-hand side of the tree and work backwards to the left. The fourth step is to calculate the value of uncertain outcome nodes. When calculating th e value of uncertain outcomes, one would do this by multiplying the value of the outcomes by their profitability. The total for that node of the tree is the total of these values (Mind Tools, n.d.). The fifth step of creating a decision tree is calculating the value of the decision nodes. In this step managers will have to write down the cost of each option and then subtract the cost from outcome that would give managers a value that represents the benefit of that particular decision. Figure 6 is an example of a decision tree that was retrieved from the Mind Tools website. (Note: It should be Figure 6, not Figure 4) Figure 6. Marketing Concepts As a home improvement warehouse store, the Home Depots customer base are the average do-it-yourselfers, do it for me, and professionals. The Home Depots competition not only includes big-name stores like Lowes but the local hardware stores. The Home Depot uses multiple social media outlets such as Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube. On these sites they reach out to customers through videos depicting how easy it is to do-it-yourself with the right tools and support from the store. They bring customers into the store by hosting how-to seminars. They do these things in an effort to increase brand loyalty, interaction with customers, and customers comfort level when doing projects on their own. In this day and age there are many outlets that companies can utilize an effort to reach maximum customer base. Chantal Tode (2012) wrote an article on how Home Depot decided to do an iPad app in an effort to integrate a customer experience that would get them more involved in home decor. Home Depot launched the Home Depot Style Guide Spring 2012 app around mid-March (Tode, 2012). This iPad application for the Home Depot has proven to be a huge success. The Home Depot will attempt to optimize Home Depot.com in an effort to provide iPad users with the best experience. Matt Jones, general manager of mobile for HomeDepot.com, Atlanta, Georgia said it has outperformed our expectations in terms of downloads, page views per visit and time spent in the app (Tode, 2012). Global View of Business Marketing. Success in international markets depends on a number of different things. When thinking about marketing for an international organization one must consider the wants and needs of that particular market. What works in Houston may not be the same in China. The Home Depot entered Chinas market in 2006. Unfortunately, the company did not do due diligence and study what the market demanded in that country. The Home Depot attempted to market in China the same way as it did in the United States. As a result the Home Depot will close the last of the seven stores in that country. Further research shows that the market in China is more of a do it for me culture (Burkitt, 2012), in part due to cheap labor and the fact that most individuals live in apartments. This means they have less need for items such as lumber and gardening tools. The closing of the stores will cost the Home Depot approximately $160 million after-tax in the third quarter 2012 (Burkitt, 2012). The Home Depot has a YouTube channel dedicated to Spanish speaking customers. This is a strategic marketing plan that should assist the Home Depot with its Spanish-speaking customers and improve its brand with. Management. Same comment as above. International management is one of the key things that brings success when working in a global economy. It is important to understand the culture of the country in which the business will operate. The Home Depot has stores in Canada, Mexico, . Canadian business is improving performance in the fourth quarter (Home Depot, 2012). Mexican business has 33 consecutive quarters of positive comp growth (Home Depot, 2012). Economic and Business Operations. Same comment as above about format. As previously discussed, the Home Depots economic and business operations are going quite well in the international market with the exception of China. The international businesses are operated similarly to those based in the United States. Nextels for the Home Depot outside of the United States were $8 billion for fiscal year 2011 (Home Depot, 2012). Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Foundations of Human Enterprise The Home Depot is very involved in community outreach programs. They have an organization known as The Home Depot Foundation with a mission to ensure that every veteran has a place to call home (Home Depot Foundation, 2012). In 2011 this organization completed more than 1000 projects with more than 400 of them focused specifically on veterans. They worked on projects such as painting local schools, community gardens, and refurbishing needy familys homes while working with local nonprofit organizations. The Home Depot also helps when disaster relief is needed. They assist local governments and organizations by providing supplies and resources needed to clean up and rebuild neighborhoods. The organization also contributes $500,000 to the American Red Cross annual disaster giving program (Home Depot Foundation, 2012). Business and Economic Principles Organizations such as the Home Depot need to understand that basic business and economic principles are of the utmost importance. This paper has discussed many different business and economic principles to include demand, economies of scale, opportunity costs and exit strategies. Critical Thinking The Home Depot solves problems and makes decisions more quickly due to the development of common vocabulary that is used throughout the organization. It utilizes a cross functional relationship approach by mixing the different strengths of the creative, teamwork, and rational approach to problem solving. The Home Depot also empowers its employees to think critically by taking courses offered through the employee website to enhance current skills and learn new ones. They also provide web-based seminars to help their employees learn how to resolve problems efficiently and effectively when they occur. Elements of the Environment That Influence Management Activities This paper has already presented many of the elements that affect management. Elements such as economic conditions, competition, and international environment have been discussed. Other elements that affect management, especially in a home improvement environment, would be things such as weather and social environment. The weather plays a large role due because it directly impacts customer flow to the store. During seasons that involve multiple days of inclement weather, management must make the decision as to what hours the store will be open, what conditions would cause the store to close early, and what items should be brought to the front of the store in an effort to catch the eye of customers. The Home Depot is already answering the question to social environment. When society changes so should business, and the Home Depot has done just that. One can find the Home Depot on many social media outlets such as Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube. Courses of Action (COA) The Home Depot currently uses microeconomic data and economic theory to forecast the levels of demand for its products through the Gross National Product (GNP). The problem is that its demand is closely based on the housing market. As of late the housing market has been unpredictable and therefore the Home Depot should utilize a different forecasting technique. Below are two different COAs to take in consideration. Course of Action One The first course of action would be to implement the Delphi method to forcast inventory needs. This method is a combination of qualitative and quantitative processes that are derived from qualified experts opinions and are used to develop possible theories for the future. There are five steps in the Delphi method (Chong, Adnan, Zin, 2012). The first of his two identify the problem. Administrators will design questionnaires and evaluate total costs before starting the actual procedures. Upon completion of this step the expert selection will begin. Step two is actually selecting the experts. The actual size of the project that needs to be completed will be the determining factor as to how many experts will sit on the panel. The size of the panel actually depends on the budget allotted (Chong et al., 2012). The next step is to administer the questionnaire to the experts. In this step the members of the panel will draw conclusions from their own personal experiences and any other sort o f data or research that is available to them at the time (Chong et al., 2012). The fourth step is actually broken down into different parts. The first part will be to evaluate the responses that were generated from the original questionnaire. The responses that are evaluated from the first questionnaire are used by the director to develop more in-depth questions to be used in the second questionnaire. The second part of the fourth step is to redistribute the questionnaire with more focused questions in an organized list of the responses to these questions on the first questionnaire (Chong et al., 2012). The fifth step is to interpret the results. This final step will continue until all the experts said on the panel comes to a consensus (Chong et al., 2012). The reason this process works relatively well is because the experts are not together. This allows administrators to get a true consensus without prejudice or bias. Figure 7 shows how the Delphi method is used. Figure 7. Delphi Method. Course of Action Two The second course of action would be to implement the Holt-Winters Method for Seasonality Technique. This method utilizes the seasonality factor in order to account for seasonality associated with a product (Gelper, Fried, Croux, 2008). For example, the Home Depot sells many lawnmowers in the springtime and many air-conditioners when the temperature rises in the summer. This particular method needs to estimate three components of a forecasting equation (Gelper et al., 2008). The first component is the current level of sales. This component is achieved by removing noise and all seasonal aspects of the level. The second component is to use the current trend. This is the difference between the levels that are expected to happen between any two given seasons. The third is to add the seasonality. For example, if the Home Depot wanted to forecast sales for August and it is June, the following equalization could be utilized: [level (100) +2*trend (10)]*seasonal (1.4) = 128 units The Holt Winters method estimated that the current level is 100, the trend is five, and August has the seasonal index of 1.4. Figure 8 shows an example of the Holt Winters exponential smoothing. Figure 8. Holt Winters Exponential Smoothing. (Note: I see you have a legend on this one. Good) Recommendation Given the choices between the Delphi method and t
Saturday, January 18, 2020
Education of the Henry Adams
ââ¬Å"The Education of the Henry Adamsâ⬠reviews Adams' and the United States's education and growth during the 19th century. Adams was an old man who had Puritan beliefs about sex and religion. In this autobiography, Adams voices his skepticism about man's newfound power to control the direction of history, in particular, the exploding world of science and technology, where all certainties of the future have vanished (anb.org, 1). Adams grew up in the United Stated where he was a Puritan. Puritans believed that sex (women especially) was just a form of fertility and reproduction; otherwise ââ¬Å"sex was a sinâ⬠(Adams, 384). ââ¬Å"American art, like the American language and American education, was as far as possible sexlessâ⬠(Adams, 385). The only sculptures and paintings of women that Adams viewed with understanding were those like the Virgin Mary, who was always seen as non-sexual. For example, ââ¬Å"America was ashamed of herâ⬠¦have strewn fig-leaves so profusely all over herâ⬠(Adams, 384). However, during this time of the technology revolution, women were beginning to be viewed differently, especially in Europe. Women were viewed as beautiful and mortal beings. People such as Rodin were representing women in paintings and sculptures sexually. Sex was becoming something more than just a means of reproduction. Suddenly Adams was far, far away from his Puritan custom-bound life. People were no longer motivated by religion, being saved by God, and going to heaven; science, technology, money, and power had taken over the drives of man. Religion (a common ââ¬Å"scaleâ⬠of the past) had taken the backseat to science, technology, money, power, and the new ideas and art of sex (all new ââ¬Å"scalesâ⬠of the present and the future). ââ¬Å"In opposition to the medieval Virgin, Adams saw a new godhead-the dynamo-symbol of the modern historyâ⬠s anarchic energiesâ⬠(anova.org, 1). Adams desperately wanted to learn about the new world of technology, the ââ¬Å"dynamosâ⬠, yet he felt helpless to find this new knowledge and to comprehend it. Adams was overwhelmed by the technology of the dynamos. When Adams saw the dynamo, it became a symbol of the future, of infinity (Adams, 380). ââ¬Å"He began to feel the forty-foot dynamos as a moral force, much as early Christians felt the crossâ⬠(Adams, 380). Like the changes in art and sexuality, the technology was overtaking religion. The dynamo, to Adams, has become a symbol of the unknown, of the future without God and religion. This was Adamsâ⬠s greatest uncertainty; going against all of his past and beliefs and moving on into the unpredictable future.
Friday, January 10, 2020
High School Experience Essay
High school is always a terrifying experience for a lot of kids. Itââ¬â¢s the point in their life when they become adults and realize who they want to be. It also indicates where they will be heading in life and what they will be doing in the future. Most high schools have the common social groups such as the jocks, the preps, the popular kids, and the norms, and people often find themselves making drastic changes to their personality or appearance to be accepted into at least one of these groups. School has always been difficult for me as far as fitting in with the crowd, so in high school, it was important to me to figure out which group I felt the most comfortable with and could be myself in without being judged or rejected. Every once in a while, different groups become intertwined with each other and get along quite well. Whether itââ¬â¢s the jocks and the popular kids, or the norms and the nerds, they all find a way to connect and make sure everyone feels at home. In my high school experience, that is exactly what happened. As one jock, named Allison went through her days living her dreams as a cheerleader, a prep named Madison went through hers imagining she owned the school. These two girls who had joined completely different groups, found a connection and became close friends with one of the popular kids, named Lauren, who never seemed to have a hard time making friends, and myself, who never cared too much about anything besides getting through each day with the best education possible, a common norm trait. As the years went on, so did our high school experience, and our bond became stronger and stronger until the day came we all had to go our separate ways. On May 23, 2014, I had one of the most memorable experiences with these three girls. As we closed one chapter in our lives and opened up for a new one to begin, we placed our caps on our heads and took our diplomas in our hands. Taking our last glance at an old place, and saying goodbye to old friends, we embrace our last moments and prepare for the first moments at a new place with new friends.
Thursday, January 2, 2020
Analysis Of The Book Founding Brothers - 1577 Words
Founding Brothers Essay 17 Oct 2015 Shaan Sekhon The United States faced many challenges in the years following the revolutionary war. The themes discusses in the ââ¬Å"Founding Brothersâ⬠show how difficult it really was to create a perfect union. Ellis shows that many factors went into decisions as theoretically simple as the location of the nations new capitol, to the morality of slave trade. Collaboration played a large role in the nations early years, as did the faith people put in its first leaders. Leaders like George Washington, who even voluntarily stepped down from office, changed the future of the country. Developing a young nation is no easy task, but itââ¬â¢s because of the founding fathers that it went as smoothly as it did. American beliefs fueled the nation into what it is today. The United States national debt and new capitol location were two issues that Madison, Hamilton, and Jefferson played a part in. The location of the new capitol was one that was debated over in secret. Thomas Jefferson held a dinner with Madison and Hamilton in 1790 to discuss the future of the country. Hamilton agreed with Jefferson to use his influence to house the new capitol by the Potomac River. The southern states preferred this location, which Madison represented. There was an agreement however, that both politicians had to agree to. Madison would support his party to vote for Jeffersons financial plan. Many parties would participate in these secret dinners in order to settleShow MoreRelatedThe Founding Brothers By Joseph J. Ellis1253 Words à |à 6 PagesIn the book the Founding Brothers, Joseph J. Ellis, the author puts the key players of post ââ¬â revolution America on BLAST! His slam book, closely mirrors the political turmoil of today. It is marred by a war of words between candidates, personal attacks, media bias, party politics and long standing feuds. 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